Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.030427 0.035602 0.041310 0.048063 0.055823 0.064448 0.074751
2025-07-06 0.022315 0.028922 0.036903 0.047211 0.060122 0.075706 0.095886
2025-07-13 0.018305 0.025930 0.035892 0.049754 0.068419 0.092541 0.125909
2025-07-20 0.015174 0.023279 0.034633 0.051504 0.075699 0.108857 0.157385
2025-07-27 0.012053 0.019924 0.031687 0.050253 0.078449 0.119192 0.181897
2025-08-03 0.009893 0.017513 0.029593 0.049730 0.081921 0.130673 0.209103
2025-08-10 0.008017 0.015150 0.027108 0.048091 0.083273 0.138917 0.232151
2025-08-17 0.006623 0.013310 0.025124 0.046863 0.084954 0.147637 0.256619
2025-08-24 0.005692 0.012109 0.024007 0.046875 0.088578 0.159702 0.287524
2025-08-31 0.004771 0.010740 0.022346 0.045622 0.089749 0.167651 0.312179
2025-09-07 0.004379 0.010356 0.022463 0.047655 0.097025 0.186781 0.357853
2025-09-14 0.003836 0.009543 0.021602 0.047646 0.100428 0.199264 0.392793
2025-09-21 0.003241 0.008509 0.020149 0.046297 0.101187 0.207186 0.420630
2025-09-28 0.002794 0.007729 0.019112 0.045659 0.103278 0.217824 0.454628
2025-10-05 0.002633 0.007614 0.019532 0.048224 0.112270 0.242730 0.518412
2025-10-12 0.002433 0.007360 0.019588 0.049977 0.119733 0.265286 0.579593
2025-10-19 0.002091 0.006652 0.018442 0.048787 0.120608 0.274469 0.614642
2025-10-26 0.001834 0.006121 0.017641 0.048291 0.122958 0.286910 0.657458
2025-11-02 0.001564 0.005490 0.016470 0.046702 0.122565 0.293399 0.688252
2025-11-09 0.001350 0.004974 0.015515 0.045510 0.122947 0.301570 0.723321
2025-11-16 0.001208 0.004656 0.015049 0.045524 0.126251 0.316554 0.774581
2025-11-23 0.001045 0.004224 0.014177 0.044305 0.126311 0.324088 0.809752
2025-11-30 0.000994 0.004176 0.014439 0.046284 0.134810 0.352115 0.894063